![]() Trading is an art and the best part of fantasy football.For those of you unfamiliar with my trade advice methodology, you can go deeper into the process if you're interested. We are looking for opportunities to gain value and exploit market perception. These are just guys that are likely misvalued in your league. None of these players are must-buy or must-sells. Poke around and see if anyone wants Najee. Najee Harris- (-6.5) Harris has been very lackluster this season and now there are rumors that Jaylen Warren might get more work.If you can handle Mixon's bye, see if you can get him. A lot of managers might be looking to sell high right now and I am looking to buy. Joe Mixon - (+6.0) Mixon went OFF last week after having a series of subpar weeks. ![]() This move is very roster and record dependent. If you can buy Chase for anything around his market rate (21), he is a solid buy. Some 3-6 or lower teams might not be able to wait for him to get back. He is a buy for strong teams with good depth. Hutchinson is still estimating a week 11-13 return for Chase, and he might be available for a Tier 4 or later player. Chase has bounced between a buy and a sell over the season, and he is back in the undervalued category for now. Ja'Marr Chase has a 4for4 trade value of +15.5 vs the market. My goal would be to package Fournette and a piece to upgrade at a position. If you can sell around his market rate (28.0), it might be time to see what you can get in return. If you can package Fournette plus a player to upgrade at a position, now might be the time to cash in. Fournette was drafted as a bell-cow running back in a strong offense, and it doesn't seem like that is going to happen in 2022. Fournette has been trending in the wrong direction the last several weeks with Rashaad White getting a little more involved. Leonard Fournette has a 4for4 trade value of -7 vs the market. With low risk and decent reward, he's the perfect hold or add candidate. He feels like a hold or add (in shallow leagues) because he might have the ability to rise above the streaming conversation. Dulcich has looked good as a rookie tight end in the anemic Denver offense. Greg Dulcich's 4for4 trade value of 8 is slightly above market value. It feels like a lot of people are holding on to his awesome story and not valuing him correctly. If you can sell at his market rate (9), it is probably time to move on. Gibson looks like he has a lot more juice every time he touches the ball and is getting more of the passing work. Robinson might be starting each game, but he is doing a lot less work with his touches than Antonio Gibson. The Commanders' backfield has been a dumpster fire for most of the year. If you can work out a larger swap including Allen and Mahomes, now might be the time Trade Brian Robinsonīrian Robinson has a 4for4 trade value of -8 vs the market. If you can buy him at his market rate (16), there is a ton of room to gain value. ![]() ![]() This is purely a function of value over replacement. With Allen possibly out a couple of weeks (as of Wednesday morning) Mahomes becomes a positional advantage over the other quarterbacks in the league. Adam Hutchison does a great job breaking down Allen's injury issues in his weekly injury update column, here. This is mostly related to Allen's injury concern with his elbow. Mahomes has leap-frogged Josh Allen as the QB1 rest-of-season. Patrick Mahomes has a 4for4 trade value of +22.5 vs the market. I built a model that then uses expert ranks as an input or seed file to generate these graphics. ![]() This also helps me account for injuries increasing scarcity and shifts in offenses. I regularly calibrate my model by scrapping public data for 1-for-1 positional trades to adjust my relationships up or down. I view running backs as the backbone of a fantasy football team. My goal in building a model in 2017 was to quantify each position (wide receiver, tight end, quarterback) in terms of the running back position. Sleeper - Week 9 to 13 (Commissioner preference).Just a reminder of some default deadlines: Make sure that you get those last-minute trades in to consolidate depth or grab the upside guys you might need to make a push! Josh Allen's elbow could have a cascading effect on all Bills players for the rest of the season. We had some significant injuries last week, so make sure to keep up on the news. Most leagues are only about one week away from the trade deadline and the playoffs are right around the corner. ![]()
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